Время по Гринвичу.

Bids seen at 1.5765, 1.5745/40, 1.5720 and 1.5700/90.

Offers at 1.5795/1.5800, 1.5823 and 1.5850.

Ну собственно все ясно. Кто где.
4 уровня покупок и 4 уровня продаж.
Граффити на графиках не рисуем. А зачем?
есть 8 целей и 8 ценовых точек входа. Разновероятностных.
И есть 3 новостные точки.
Шансы выше чем в рулетку.
Управляем рисками и идем в лоб.
И все дела.

Вот собственно и консенсус с маркетмейкером.
20:41
Economic Calendar: Next week’s economic calendar is a potential cocktail for high volatilities. Highlights which may impact the market to a greater extent is the following. On Monday we have Euro-Zone CPI and US Chicago PMI. On Tuesday we have German Unemployment rate, Retail Sales and PMI Manufacturing. We also have Euro-Zone PMI Manufacturing and Unemployment rate,
20:41
Economic Calendar (cont): and from the US we have ISM Manufacturing. On Wednesday we have Euro-Zone PPI and US ADP Employment Change. Thursday sees German and Euro-Zone PMI Services, Euro-Zone Retail Sales, ECB Rate decision, US Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and finally ISM Non-Manufacturing.

Ставим 8 ордеров лимитников стопы 8 п + 2 спред = 10 п.
Тейки или трейлинги на выбор.
Разумно как вколотить противоположный так и тупо количественно тейк например 20 п.
Перед новостями ставим стопные ордера.

Или сам или женушка на форексе то поигрывает смотрю.

Розничные продажи (Retail Sales)
Розничные продажи без учета авто и бензина (Retail Sales Ex.Auto/Petrol)
Уровень безработицы ILO (ILO Unemployment Rate)
Изменение в числе безработных (Jobless Change)
Уровень безработицы (Unemployment Rate)

Если новости будут в разнобой то могут туда сюда побросать. Это кстати очень вероятно. И очень плохо.
Ставим маленькие лоты обязательно трейлинги от 5 до 8 п.
И в обе стороны. Суммарно позиций 6 можно открыть с расстоянием в 8-10 п в обе стороны.

Так-с. По ходу настроение вверх идти нет. Трейлинг закрылся в плюс 3 п.
Но еще 2 ордера стоят выше.
Валюта просто не стоит. Куда нибудь да пойдет. Если не вверх то вниз.
А если и не вниз то вправо.

По словам трейдеров, офера по евро/доллару зафиксированы в области 1.5790, при этом интерес к продаже не угасает вплоть до 1.5810. Далее офера зафиксированы на максимумах понедельника в районе 1.5836 и $1.5840/50. Биды по-прежнему находятся в области 1.5730/20 со стопами на прорыве. Если они сработают, пара может упасть до 1.5700.

Судя по всему евродоллар толкали сейчас вниз через евройену. То есть косвенно.
Как бы от 5730 вверх не улетели.

Очень странная игра против бакса.
Затариться продажей бакса?
Развернуть евро и рубануть бабок?

Мистики теханализа могут натянуть дополнительно фибосетушки и посчитать волнушки.
Особо верующие нарисовать каналы и МАСД включить на полэкрана.
На здоровье.

Не очень понял. Но походу виноваты все во всем.

Охохонюшки. Дела - с.
Мда. Реальный перченный драйвер будет на фигуру а то и две.

=DJ 2nd UPDATE: German May Retail Sales Real Adj +1.3% On Month

(Adds Bundesbank data, further analysts' comment and comment from retailers' association, background.)

By Emese Bartha
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

===========================================================
German Retail Sales ! !
May Apr ! Consensus: +0.5% MM!
on month +1.3% -0.6%r ! !
on year +0.7% -0.2%r ! Actual: +1.3% MM!
===========================================================
FRANKFURT (Dow Jones)--German retail sales rose more than twice faster than expected in May after two months of decline, data from the Federal Statistics Office showed Tuesday, but analysts say the outlook remains murky.

Retail sales in Europe's largest economy rose 1.3% on the month in May, according to calendar year and seasonally-adjusted terms, the statistics office said. Retail sales rose 0.7% on the year in real terms, it added.

Economists in a Dow Jones Newswires survey had forecast a 0.5% rise on the month.

The statistics office revised the April data to a monthly fall of 0.6% and an annual fall of 0.2%, from declines of 1.7% on the month and 1.0% on the year.

Separately, the Bundesbank said retail sales in April, including vehicle and gas station sales, rose 2.6% on the month, but declined 0.3% on the year.

The data were more benign than expected but analysts say the big picture, namely consumers' hesitance to spend because of new highs in inflation, hasn't changed.

"In the second quarter, at best, a stagnation in consumption can be expected," said Matthias Rubisch, an economist at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. He added that the second half of the year will bring a moderate rise, at best.

The Association of German Retailers, or HDE, said the rise in sales in May must be regarded in the context of the weaker sales in April. Hubertus Pellengahr, spokesman for HDE, told Dow Jones Newswires, that sales in May made up for those sales that didn't take place due to bad weather in April.

"The elevated level of inflation, which reached a new 15-year high of 3.3% year-on-year in June, is a heavy burden to the purchasing power of private households," said Alexander Koch, an economist at UniCredit in Munich.

Germany's preliminary inflation figure of 3.3% for June was driven by rising energy and food prices.

"Despite the continuing labor market upswing and higher wage agreements, this has led to a pronounced deterioration in consumer climate recently," Koch added.

The outlook for restrained spending was reflected recently when German market research group GfK published its consumer climate index for July which fell to 3.9 points, it lowest level since December 2005.

Retail sales in the first five months of the year were down 0.4% in real terms, the statistics office said.

Average spending in the first two months of the second quarter was still below the first quarter's average and points toward a significant slowdown in overall gross domestic product growth in the second quarter, said Stuart Bennett, strategist at Calyon Credit Agricole CIB in London.

German Deputy Economics Minister Walther Otremba said recently that economic growth in the second quarter could contract, as a correction following 1.5% growth in the first quarter, but the average of the two quarters is still likely to show growth.

German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck confirmed Tuesday that economic growth in Germany in 2008 will reach at least the 1.7% forecast by the government.

May (year-on-year)
Total retail sales +0.7%
(excluding vehicles and gas stations)
Food, beverages and tobacco -3.0%
Non-food +3.4%
of which
-Clothing +13.9%
-Household goods and
do-it-yourself +4.1%
-Other specialized retail +5.9%
-Drugs, cosmetics -0.5%
-Other, non-specialized retail +2.9%
-Mail order -3.1%

The data are based on figures from seven German states that account for about 76% of total sales, the Federal Statistics Office said. The data don't include car sales and sales at gas stations.

Provided by: Market News International

$1.5840/50 - крупные офера/опционный барьер на $1.5850
$1.5836 - максимум понедельника
$1.5800/10 - офера средних размеров
$1.5780 - небольшие офера
$1.5778 - внутридневной максимум
$1.5759 - текущий курс
$1.5724 - внутридневной минимум
$1.5720 - умеренный спрос
$1.5710 - стопы ниже
$1.5700/685 - умеренный спрос

Germany's Steinbrueck urges ECB to assess impact of rate hikes
FRANKFURT (Thomson Financial) - German finance minister Peer Steinbrueck urged the European Central Bank to consider the consequences of any rise in interest rates expected later this week, but said he would accept the ECB's decision.

"The ECB should take into account the consequences of an interest rate hike," Steinbrueck said on the sidelines of a ceremony to mark 20 years since the creation of the Frankfurt stock exchange's Dax index.

Over the weekend, Steinbrueck had expressed reservations over the widely anticipated increase of the ECB's benchmark lending rate to 4.25 percent from 4.0 percent, noting its potentially negative effect on economic growth.

But in line with conservative German Chancellor Angela Merkel's policy, social democrat Steinbrueck added he "accepted" the central bank's independence, a statute the ECB has underscored repeatedly following remarks by European politicians.

On Monday, European Union data showed inflation in the 15-nation eurozone hit a record 4.0 percent in June on ever higher oil prices, making an ECB rate increase a near-certainty in the minds of analysts.

The bank is determined to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched through increased wages and price-setting behaviour, if necessary by raising its main lending rate even though economic indicators show eurozone business activity is slowing significantly.

DJ Austrian June Eurostat Jobless Rate 4.2% Vs 4.5% Yr Ago
DJ Austrian June Jobless 172,658, -6% On Yr -Econ Ministry

18:27
FX: EURUSD hit day high app 2.5 hours ago at 1.5827 but tracing lower currently and support seen at 1.5775, 1.5765, 1.5750 and 1.5730/22. Offers at 1.5790, 1.5800/05, 1.5718/26 and 1.5850

EURO-DOLLAR: Trader flashes up that $1.5850 traded, the level said to
hold option barrier interest, but may need more than one trade to
trigger. Rate dips back to $1.5835.

Provided by: Market News International

EURO-DOLLAR: Trader flashes up that $1.5850 traded, the level said to
hold option barrier interest, but may need more than one trade to
trigger. Rate dips back to $1.5835.

Provided by: Market News International

Короче. Как понял щас будет битва за 5850.
5850 ломается то летим ввысь.
Не ломается падаем.
Тупо ставим селл лимит на 5848.
И бай стоп на 5858.
Стопы в разумных пределах.
Пьем кофе или чай и смотрим за битвой.

И вот еще типа слухи
0705 GMT [Dow Jones] EUR/USD hits a fresh three week high of 1.5841, just shy of the April 24 high of 1.5844, which is seen as an upside trigger point by many analysts. A trader says expect short-term players to be shorting the rate at current levels, with a stop and reverse above 1.5850, where stops are likely. He would look for 1.59, and then the all-time high of 1.6020 to be targeted above 1.5850. EUR/USD now at 1.5840. (GST)

Торговая рекомендация от маркетмейкера
6:58
Trade Idea - CuraFX – EURUSD, ½ position: We are filled to buy at 1.5837 bid, stop offer at 1.5815, targeting above 1.59

Provided by: Market News International

ECB TRICHET: Comments don't deal with EMU monetary policy

Так сказать думаю картина уже ясна.